NBA Betting: Away Chalk Cashing Since The Break

Since the 2019 NBA All-Star Weekend, road favorites (55.1 percent) are proving profitable against the spread (ATS) for bettors once again. Betting away chalk blindly from the break through the end of the regular season has netted a positive return in 14 of the last 16 seasons. With a couple of weeks remaining until the playoffs, the wagering angle appears headed for another plus year.

Below is a table showing the ATS records, average lines, and average ATS margins since 2002 backing all road favorites each season from the All-Star Weekend to the start of the playoffs. Remember: one must win at a rate greater than 52.4 percent to profit at standard -110 spread odds.

Season ATS Record (Road Faves) Average Line ATS Margin
2002 60-67-1 (47.2 percent) -4.5 -2.3
2003 73-54 (57.5 percent) -4.2 0.8
2004 60-48-2 (55.6 percent) -4.4 1.1
2005 61-53-3 (53.5 percent) -4.3 -0.8
2006 73-57-4 (56.2 percent) -4.3 1.7
2007 69-57-7 (54.8 percent) -5.8 -0.1
2008 66-67-1 (49.6 percent) -4.6 -1.1
2009 91-56-2 (61.9 percent) -4.6 0.9
2010 65-58-1 (52.8 percent) -4.7 0.6
2011 76-68-4 (52.8 percent) -4.9 0.5
2012 71-63-1 (53.0 percent) -5.0 0.2
2013 80-71-3 (53.0 percent) -5.2 -0.2
2014 77-65-5 (54.2 percent) -5.6 0.5
2015 76-63-2 (54.7 percent) -5.9 -0.6
2016 52-59-1 (46.8 percent) -4.8 -1.9
2017 79-56-0 (58.5 percent) -5.5 1.5
Current 54-44-1 (55.1 percent) -5.5 -0.8

Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea | Getty Images