Expect end-to-end action, as the the new free-shooting Bucks take their perfect record to Target Center Friday night to take on the Timberwolves. Read more for our free pick, score prediction, and betting tips on this must-watch clash.
Bucks (-1.5, 233.5) at Timberwolves
Early action sees the undefeated Bucks (4-0 SU, 2-1-1 ATS) the public side, receiving roughly 72 percent of bets 12 hours from hitting the oddsboard across the top online sportsbook. Shops adjusted the line a half point in favor of the Timberwolves (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS), however, down to +1.5 from a +2 initial offer. The total is on a rapid trek north, up to 234 at some outlets from a 232 opener.
Tips & Trends:
The Bucks are a different animal for the 2018-19 season under first-year head coach Mike Budenholzer, nearly doubling their 3-pointer attempts from last year. Milwaukee shot 24.7 per game last season. That number is up to 40.8 this year. These are drastic measures for a team roster that remains almost unchanged from a season ago.
Budenholzer’s modus operandi is to shoot it from anywhere at anytime if you’re open. Even big men Brook Lopez and Khris Middleton have attempted nearly a pair of treys in each contest. The new philosophy makes Giannis Antetokounmpo the front-runner for NBA MVP, averaging 28.5 points, 16.5 rebounds, and 6.8 assists per tilt, truly freaky numbers.
“Coach Bud is the right guy for us.” – Giannis Antetokounmpo
Exclusive All-Access look inside Bucks Training Camp 2018: pic.twitter.com/blxzyP50hg
— Milwaukee Bucks (@Bucks) October 17, 2018
Minnesota can hang with Milwaukee’s offensive attack, ranking seventh in the league in offensive rating. The betting conditions suggest the Wolves will play beyond expectations on the scoring end. Since Tom Thibodeau assumed head coaching duties in 2016, Minny is 12-6 SU and ATS at home with a line in-between 3 points. It has surpassed its projected team total in 14 of the 18 contests, shooting 48.0 percent from the floor.
Expect the Bucks to fall behind early and never recover in a clash of end-to-end action; good Friday night television material here, folks. Take Minny and the points.
Score Prediction: Minnesota 124-117
Pick: Timberwolves +1.5
Image by Aaron Gash/AP Photo