NBA Playoffs Second-Round Betting Series Numbers

Round 2 of the 2019 NBA Playoffs is set in the Eastern Conference with the top-seed Milwaukee Bucks taking on the No. 4 Boston Celtics, while the No. 2 Toronto Raptors square off against the No. 3 Philadelphia 76ers. Below is a betting history–complete with key numbers and notable trends–of similar postseason seeding matchups in the second round, since 2002.

(1) Milwaukee Bucks vs. (4) Boston Celtics

Since 2002, No. 1 has advanced in 11 of 14 Round 2 matchups versus the No. 4, including a pair of sweeps (Cavaliers 2009, 2016). In 2018, LeBron James led Cleveland past the one-seed Raptors 4-0 in the lone reverse sweep.

No. 1 vs. No. 4 Overall (2nd Round):

  • Straight-Up (SU) Record: 49-34 SU (59.0 percent)
  • Average Margin: 2.0
  • Against The Spread (ATS) Record: 36-45-2 ATS (44.4 percent)
  • Average Line: -3.4
  • ATS Margin: -1.5
  • Largest Spread: -12.5 (Cavaliers vs. Hawks, 2009)
  • Biggest Upset: +11 (Cavaliers 86, Pistons 84, 2006)

No. 1 Away Games:

  • SU Record: 15-24 (38.5 percent)
  • Average Margin: -3.1
  • ATS Record: 14-23-2 (37.8 percent)
  • Average Line: 0.8
  • ATS Margin: -2.3

Notable Trends:

  • No. 1 seeds are 6-12 SU and 4-12-2 ATS in away games following a game in which they covered the prior spread.
  • No.1 seeds are 2-14 SU and 3-12-1 ATS in road contests when they allowed their previous opponent to surpass their projected team total by 3 points or more.

No. 1 Home Games:

  • SU Record: 34-10 (77.3 percent)
  • Average Margin: 6.4
  • ATS Record: 22-22 (50.0 percent)
  • Average Line: -7.2
  • ATS Margin: -0.7

Notable Trends:

  • No. 1 seeds are 12-2 SU (85.7 percent) and 10-4 ATS (71.4 percent) in the series opener, covering a -7.3 average line by 4.0 points per game. They are 12-18 ATS (40.0 percent) in all other home games.

(2) Toronto Raptors vs. (3) Philadelphia 76ers

Since 2002, No. 2 seeds are 80-51-1 (61.1 percent) as betting favorites versus No. 3 seeds in second round.

No. 2 vs. No. 3 Overall (2nd Round):

  • Straight-Up (SU)  Record: 78-55 SU (58.6 percent)
  • Average Margin: 2.4
  • Against The Spread (ATS) Record: 69-63-1 ATS (52.3 percent)
  • Average Line: -1.4
  • ATS Margin: 1.0
  • Largest Spread: -11 (Spurs vs. Supersonics, 2005)
  • Biggest Upset: +9 (Celtics 101, 76ers 98, 2018)

No. 2 Away Games:

  • SU Record: 27-36 (42.9 percent)
  • Average Margin: -4.0
  • ATS Record: 26-36-1 (41.9 percent)
  • Average Line: 2.6
  • ATS Margin: -1.4

Notable Trends:

  • No. 2 seeds catching points in road contests are just 15-31 SU (32.6 percent) and 16-30 ATS (34.8 percent) overall.
  • No. 2 seeds are 4-20 ATS (16.7 percent) coming off a game that finished 13 points or more below the betting total.

No. 2 Home Games:

  • SU Record: 51-19 (72.9 percent)
  • Average Margin: 8.3
  • ATS Record: 43-27 (61.4 percent)
  • Average Line: -5.1
  • ATS Margin: 3.2

Notable Trends:

  • No. 2 seeds have covered two-thirds of back-to-back home games, going 22-11 ATS overall.