2018-19 NBA Betting Results: Win Total Over- and Underachievers

Which NBA teams proved the best and worst at covering their preseason win-total predictions for the 2018-19 regular season? Take a look:

Overachievers

T-3. Los Angeles Clippers

Win Total (5Dimes): 37
Actual Wins: 48
Difference: 11

The Clippers offense surprised many this season, ranking No. 9 in the NBA in efficiency with 112.4 points per 100 possessions. They led the league drawing fouls, generating 24.0 per contest, which allowed for freebies late in the all-important second and fourth quarters. L.A. topped all in points in each of these periods as well (30.1 per 2nd Q, 28.8 per 4th)

T-3. Orlando Magic

Win Total: 31
Actual Wins: 42
Difference: 11

The surprising Southeast winner Orlando bought into first-year head coach Steve Clifford’s defensive philosophy, yielding the fifth fewest points in the league (106.6 per game). The franchise particularly shined against Eastern Conference foes, going 30-22 SU (57.7 percent) and 31-20-1 ATS (60.8 percent).

T-3. Portland Trail Blazers

Win Total: 42
Actual Wins: 53
Difference: 11

Moda Center proved a tough travel spot for visitors once again, the Trail Blazers going 32-9 (78.0 percent) and 23-15-3 ATS (60.5 percent) in the famed building.

2. Milwaukee Bucks

Win Total: 48
Actual Wins: 60
Difference: 12

Head coach Mike Budenholzer’s five-out offensive system is proving the perfect fit for star Giannis Antetokounmpo, allowing the “freak” MVP candidate a plethora of unstoppable iso opportunities.

1. Sacramento Kings

Win Total: 26
Actual Wins: 48
Difference: 22

The Kings sped up the pace this season, which allowed their bevy of young offensive stars the perfect setting to unleash their skills and talents. Sacramento ranks fourth in the NBA with 103.1 possessions per 48 minutes. It led the league in fastbreak points with 20.9 per tilt. Last season, the Kings ranked last in pace (94.9) and 20th in transition buckets (10.4 per game).

Underachievers

T-28. Los Angels Lakers

Win Total: 48.5
Actual Wins: 37
Difference: -11.5

LeBron James’ supporting staff was flawed from the get-go, as evidenced by the fact the team only won one-third (9-18 SU) of all contests the “King” sat out. The Lakers went 28-27 SU (50.9 percent) with James suiting up.

T-28. Cleveland Cavaliers

Win Total: 30.5
Actual Wins: 19.5
Difference: -11.5

Cleveland owns the most inefficient defense in the NBA, surrendering 117.6 points per 100 possessions. It won only five of 54 contests allowing 109 points or more.

T-28. New York Knicks

Win Total: 28.5
Actual Wins: 17
Difference: -11.5

The Knicks set a franchise record in futility with a season-low 17 wins. They tipped off the betting favorites in a game just nine times all season.

29. New Orleans Pelicans

Win Total: 45.5
Actual Wins: 33
Difference: -12.5

The season took a turn for the worse when the relationship between star center Anthony Davis and management grew toxic over trade talks. The Pelicans were a respectable 19-22 SU and ATS prior to January 8. They went 14-27 SU (34.1 percent) and 17-21-3 ATS (44.7 percent) afterwards.

30. Washington Wizards

Win Total: 45.5
Actual Wins: 32
Difference: -13.5

Star guard John Wall proved a liability prior to opting for late December surgery on ailing bone spurs in his left heel. Hindered by the injury, the Wizards went 11-21 SU and ATS (34.4 percent) with Wall leading the team through Christmas.

Below is a table showing every NBA team’s 2018-19 preseason win total (5Dimes) and actual regular-season results:

Team Win Total (Bet) Over Odds Under Odds 2018-19 Wins Result
Sacramento Kings 26 -105 -115 48 Over
Milwaukee Bucks 48 -140 120 60 Over
Los Angeles Clippers 37 100 -120 48 Over
Orlando Magic 31 -105 -115 42 Over
Portland Trail Blazers 42 -130 110 53 Over
Brooklyn Nets 32 -115 -105 42 Over
Denver Nuggets 47.5 -120 100 54 Over
Atlanta Hawks 23.5 -105 -115 29 Over
San Antonio Spurs 43.5 100 -120 48 Over
Charlotte Hornets 35.5 -150 130 39 Over
Detroit Pistons 38.5 -120 100 41 Over
Toronto Raptors 55.5 -125 105 58 Over
Indiana Pacers 47.5 -105 -115 48 Over
Oklahoma City Thunder 48.5 -115 -105 49 Over
Utah Jazz 49.5 -160 140 50 Over
Memphis Grizzlies 34.5 -105 -115 33 Under
Dallas Mavericks 35.5 -105 -115 33 Under
Philadelphia 76ers 53.5 -105 -115 51 Under
Houston Rockets 56.5 -115 -105 53 Under
Miami Heat 43 -105 -115 39 Under
Golden State Warriors 62.5 -115 -105 57 Under
Minnesota Timberwolves 41.5 -120 100 36 Under
Chicago Bulls 30 110 -130 22 Under
Boston Celtics 59 -115 -105 49 Under
Phoenix Suns 29 -110 -110 19 Under
Cleveland Cavaliers 30.5 -130 110 19 Under
Los Angeles Lakers 48.5 -120 100 37 Under
New York Knicks 28.5 115 -135 17 Under
New Orleans Pelicans 45.5 -105 -115 33 Under
Washington Wizards 45.5 -110 -110 32 Under